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ESL One New York Preview

Will Astralis win yet another title or will Liquid capitalize on the home-field advantage

Valentin Gustafsson
Freelance Esports Writer
23rd Sep, 2019·☕️ 6 min read
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Will Astralis win yet another title or will Liquid capitalize on the home-field advantage? Read on as we break down all you need to know about ESL One New York, including some tips for fantasy and betting.

Competition Information

Eight of the world’s best teams have gathered in Brooklyn for the fourth edition of ESL One New York. We should be in for a good one, as this tournament has an excellent format with best-of-threes throughout.

The groups have been seeded using ESL’s World Rankings and they are as follows:

Group A:

  • 🇺🇸 Liquid
  • 🇫🇮 ENCE
  • 🇫🇷 G2
  • 🇺🇸 eUnited

Group B:

  • 🇩🇰 Astralis
  • 🇺🇸 NRG
  • 🇪🇺 FaZe
  • 🇩🇰 OpTic

With roster mania in full effect, both FaZe and G2 will be attending with stand-ins. G2 have chosen to drop shox and Lucky after the major and they have yet to find permanent replacements for the two. As such, kioShiMa will be standing in for the team, with Lucky attending one last tournament for G2.

FaZe have yet to secure replacements for in-game leader NEO as well as AWPer GuardiaN who is making the move over to NaVi — a team that the Slovakian represented from 2013 to 2017. FaZe will be attending the tournament with the Latvian player broky who is on trial for the team. They have still yet to announce their fifth for the tournament and news should surface within the upcoming days.

The format for the competition is the commonly used GSL format (Double-Elimination). The eight teams have been divided into groups of four, with the top two teams of each group advancing to the playoffs. All matches in the tournament will be best-of-three, with the exception being the final which will be a best-of-five.

Despite the fact that this tournament takes place in the United States, no North American team has ever hoisted the trophy on home soil. Previous winners of this event include the likes of NaVi, FaZe and most recently; mousesports.

The tournament kicks off September 26 with the first set of group stage matches. The semi-finals will be played September 28 and the winner will be crowned September 29.

The Current Season

Fantasy Preview

Skrilla will be running slates that run for the entirety of the tournament as well as the group stage. There are a few things to keep in mind if you are planning to play the former. At first glance the obvious play might seem to stack Astralis and Liquid since they are the two favorites, however, it might be more beneficial to stack Astralis/NRG or Liquid/ENCE since these combinations will be able to avoid each other in the playoffs. Additionally, one of these teams is guaranteed to play additional maps for more points. This is, of course, a high-risk, high reward type of strategy that should likely be avoided in H2Hs. The final will be a BO5 this time around, so you’re definitely going to want as many players in the final as possible.

Top Picks

🇺🇸 EliGE - $20,980

EliGE
Team: Team Liquid
K/D Ratio: 1.10
Headshot Percentage: 49.0%
Assists / Round: 0.16

Team Liquid are coming off a disappointing finish at the Berlin Major as well as a loss to the lesser-known Brazilian team Sharks in the online season of ECS. Despite the poor recent form, EliGE has continued to put up excellent numbers for Liquid. The same cannot be said for Twistzz whom I would normally target at this range. The upside is still incredible with Twistzz and he is worth a look regardless, especially if you are planning to stack Liquid. However, the safe money is with EliGE for now since he is the cheaper option.

🇩🇰 Magisk - $19,780

Magisk
Team: Astralis
K/D Ratio: 1.18
Headshot Percentage: 47.9%
Assists / Round: 0.15

There are two players that stand out on Astralis right now and that is Magisk and device. I would recommend starting device against the likes of NRG and Liquid, as he is in fine form at the moment and tends to perform well against North American teams. However, I favor Magisk overall since he is cheaper and sets up well for fantasy scoring with his higher headshot accuracy and assist average.

🇺🇸 Brehze - $23,600

Brehze
Team: NRG
K/D Ratio: 1.16
Headshot Percentage: 51.9%
Assists / Round: 0.13

Brehze is the highest-priced player on the slate, but for good reason. Since tarik and stanislaw joined the roster, he has been THE standout player for NRG. The likes of CeRq and Ethan are capable of putting up top tier performances from time to time, but it is Brehze who has been Mr. Consistency for NRG. The high salary is less of an issue, as you can easily stack Brehze with CeRq or tarik in the 17k range.

Value Picks

🇫🇮 suNny - $16,520

suNny
Team: ENCE
K/D Ratio: 1.10
Headshot Percentage: 46.2%
Assists / Round: 0.15

suNny had a poor first showing with ENCE in Moscow. Call me crazy, but I am willing to give the Finn another chance. We have seen suNny struggle at times during his years with mousesports as well, so this is nothing new. If you want to go for a safer option in this range for ENCE, I would pick allu with great confidence right now. Despite ENCE’s struggles, he has continued to put up a lot of frags for his team. However, I personally favor suNny due to his higher headshot and assist totals.

🇩🇰 gla1ve - $16,020

gla1ve
Team: Astralis
K/D Ratio: 1.04
Headshot Percentage: 46.9%
Assists / Round: 0.17

gla1ve hasn’t been in the best form recently. However, his low price of $16,020 will allow you to get the heavy hitters on your fantasy roster. As we all know, gla1ve is one of the better fragging in-game leaders and he has the potential to occasionally keep up with the rest of the team in the fragging department. Historically, gla1ve has excelled at Inferno and Nuke and we should see Astralis play more of these maps this time around due to the BO3 format.

🇺🇸 nitr0 - $15,340

nirt0
Team: Team Liquid
K/D Ratio: 1.05
Headshot Percentage: 44.2%
Assists / Round: 0.14

Everything that I just said about gla1ve pretty much applies to nitr0 as well. A great fragging in-game leader that is capable of putting up big numbers at times. If you want to stack Liquid, nitr0 will make a great option since he will allow you to afford the likes of EliGE and Twistzz alongside other stars on teams like Astralis and NRG.

Wild Card Pick

🇩🇰 k0nfig - $20,900

k0nfig
Team: OpTic
K/D Ratio: 1.10
Headshot Percentage: 55.2%
Assists / Round: 0.13

k0nfig used to be revered as one of the best, but it has been quite a while since he was in that conversation. However, his recent form needs to be highlighted. He is currently leading his team in Kills/Round (0.78), Headshot Accuracy (60.9%) and K/D (1.16) since cajunb joined the roster. k0nfig is an aggressive player and he is far from consistent as a result of that. However, he is certainly someone who is worth starting in the group stage slates due to his high upside.

Betting Tips

The format for this tournament is excellent, with BO3s throughout the group-stage and semi-finals as well as a BO5 final. Every team at this tournament will have their map pool truly tested and only teams with a strong map pool should realistically have a chance of coming out victorious at this one. From the opening games, I like NRG’s chances of beating FaZe at current odds of 1.44. FaZe are in the process of a roster change and NRG looked excellent at the major before running into the juggernaut that is Astralis. In their last two meetings, FaZe have gotten the better of NRG but historically NRG have been the stronger side.

Featured Match
NRG Esports (1.44)VSFaZe Clan (2.60)

Additionally, I would keep an eye out for OpTic. It seems far fetched that they would make a deep run at this tournament, however, I wouldn’t underestimate the Danes in a potential matchup with FaZe. The last time these two sides met, OpTic came out victorious 2–0. As such, there could be some value depending on the odds on offer, either as a straight bet on the money line or as a handicap bet.